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Francesco Sidoti

 

 

SECURITY: REASONS FOR SURVIVAL

 

Text prepared for

 

LISBON SECURITY 2001 “SECURITY IN THE THIRD MILLENNIUM”

 CUM O ALTO PATROCINIO DE SUA EXCELENCIA O PRESIDENTE DA REPUBLICA

 

Lisboa, 12-13 March 2001

 

Preliminary Draft

 

 

1. Introductory remarks

2. Meanings of Security

3. Security in the global village: a depressing forecast

4. The policies of security

5. From a new insecurity to educational programs on security

 

1. Introductory remarks

 

First of all, I would like to thank the people who have invited me and have built up this fantastic organisation.  

My speech about security is largely connected with the observations already made by Giovanni Manunta. Giovanni and I have gone the same way during the years: walking in a parallel direction, unaware of each other, we arrived at similar conclusion from many points of view. Giovanni and I are connected in a campaign for the dignity of security and of the people who work for security.  

The radical culture of the Sixties frequently demonized the police and excused violence. Security is not a fascist or authoritarian word: it is the first basic word in human culture. From Horace to Popper, security is a precondition for the possibility of living a good life in an open society. Security and survival are strictly connected.   

What kind of survival is awaiting us? As regards crime, I will repeat the words said in Great Britain by the Home Secretary Jack Straw. In the homeland of modern human rights, in March 2000 he observed that the number of people in prison in England and Wales had risen in comparison to previous years, and would have continued in this way "for the foreseeable future". Mr Straw revealed that the prison population had increased by 25,000 over the last 10 years to its present level of 65,000. During Labour's term the increase had been 6,000, making the numbers jailed per head of the population the highest in Europe after Portugal.

   The average length of prison sentences was rising too, he said, and the proportion of offenders being sent into custody had increased significantly. He said: "We are making provision for more prison places. Prison is the answer for people committing crimes who have not got the message. …If we can divert people before they get into prison so much the better, but the forecasts suggest the prison population is likely to go on rising for the foreseeable future. It is inevitable that it will rise until the country really has got on top of crime. I keep saying that as long as we have criminals committing serious crime we have got to have the prison places for them." 

Today we have great problems and great successes. There are many great achievements in the recent fight against criminality and insecurity. During the Nineties I have worked in the Parliamentary Anti-Mafia Commission and I made studies about organised crime and white collar criminality on a comparative scale. In the Nineties, from New York to Sicily, from Korea to Brussels, the desire of legality and justice has defeated enemies, traditions, complicity; the history of this struggle has been frequently a success history, but normally unknown or misinterpreted, under-researched and under-estimated.

 

2. Meanings of Security

     The word security comes from the classical Latin word securitas, which took a meaning near to the modern one during the bloody Roman civil wars. In Horace we find the glorification of securitas and libertas together in an almost modern meaning of the words: there is no liberty without security. For centuries the point was clear for all the liberal schools of thought, from Adam smith to Hayek. The rights to life, freedom, property, happiness, have a logical and a practical requirement in the right to security.

     From a point of view connected with studies of psychiatrists and neurobiologists, insecurity should be seen as an aspect of the sequence threat-vulnerability-danger-fear-distress -anxiety-panic-terror, characterised by an increasing intensity of the sensation of insecurity and by a decreasing level of rational control of the situation. Insecurity, like fear stems from a rational calculation of the risk, which is the result of  the calculation of the damage multiplied by its probability.

   In everyday life this calculation is very difficult for theoretic reasons, which have been illustrated by sociologists like Pareto and epistemologists like Simon. We often define as fear, conditions of insecurity that are not clear to us. We present them as if they were concretely defined, over-rationalising, sometimes consciously and sometimes unconsciously. The calculation produces insecurity as the result of a complex process in which there is a rational aspect oriented to consider costs and benefits, but there are also many other aspects, historical, religious, ideological, cultural, social, even biological and psychiatric. Put at the centre of the continuum which starts with a threat and arrives at terror, insecurity can oscillate between a maximum rational calculation and an absolute lack of rational calculation.

    If connected to rational calculation, fear and insecurity can have a widely positive meaning, as in the example of someone driving in heavy traffic, who consequently adopts a more prudent behaviour. In all of our lives we all experience many unpleasant and unforeseen events: survival is connected to the capacity to avoid been suffocated by these events. Rational motivated fear could be considered in a certain sense an instrument of natural selection. The sensation of insecurity is a sentiment of extremely subjective nature which regularly in psychiatric type analysis is closely associated to the interconnection of the organic system and the social system. It cannot be ignored that at the organic level specific neurochemical mechanisms like serotonin, for example, are the basis of such an eminently individual sensation as insecurity; but the activation, the conditioning, and channelling that social institutions and cultural background exercise on individual sensation cannot be ignored either. In other times the dominant sensations of fear were different: the fear of God was characteristic of one period, the fear of communism is characteristic of an other historical period. It is surely with relief and shame that we leave behind us the 20th century, with its nightmares of gulags, lagers, Killing Fields, two world wars of unprecedented ferocity, and so on. The future keeps aside new monsters.

    To conclude this argument, I accept the formal definition of security given by Giovanni Manunta:   S = f (A,P,T) Si. According to this definition, Security is a function of the interaction of many components, above all the Protector, who performs the security process, in antagonism to a Threat, in order to protect an Asset from unacceptable damage, within a specific Situation.

    Security is risk-adverse, utility based, defensive, multidimensional. Differently from safety (related to accidents, hazards, damages), security is threat-orientated and connected with intelligence, counter-intelligence, protection, surveillance, vetting and investigation. Safety is one of the most important goals of security.

 

 

3. Security in the global village: a depressing forecasting

      In the global village, security problems are global problems. In order to present the characteristics of security in our time, I’m relying on  Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue about the Future with Nongovernmental Experts, which is the fruit of the greatest collaboration between the Central Intelligence Agency, academics and experts in the private sector. The goal of this important document was forecasting world trends over the next decade and a half. I have recently participated in an international meeting where the Chairman of the National Intelligence Council John Gannon has exposed the main themes of the document, which is "The most we have done with outside engagement," he said in an interview. The 15-member National Intelligence Council is based at CIA headquarters under Director of Central Intelligence and focuses on global strategic assessments.

   Following the experts who made the document, in the next fifteen years a greater international economy and a greater international co-operation could reduce armed conflict and alleviate the effects of population growth, poverty and water shortages. But it is also possible that economic growth could divide the world into haves and have-nots, fuelling "frustrated expectations, inequities, and heightened communal tensions" while triggering the spread of organised crime and weapons of mass destruction. From the demographic point of view, the document says that the world's population will surge from 6.1 billion people today to 7.2 billion. The growth will be above all in developing nations and in urban areas. As a consequence of demographic trends and globalization, energy demands will increase by 50 percent, water shortages could trigger conflict among States, terrorism will be characterised by the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction among fanatics and rogue States. The threat of a missile attack involving chemical, biological or even nuclear weapons will increase: "Some terrorists or insurgents will attempt to use such weapons”. For some countries, like Russia, the forecasting is devastating: "Besides a crumbling infrastructure, years of environmental neglect are taking a toll on the population, a toll made worse by such societal costs of transition as alcoholism, cardiac diseases, drugs, and a worsening health delivery system".

     "The networked global economy will be driven by rapid and largely unrestricted flows of information, ideas, cultural values, capital, goods and services, and people," the report observes. "This globalized economy will be a net contributor to increased political stability in the world in 2015, although its reach and benefits will not be universal. In contrast to the Industrial Revolution, the process of globalization is more compressed. Its evolution will be rocky, marked by chronic financial volatility and a widening economic divide." 

    The report paints what is in many ways a problematic portrait of planet earth in 2015, leaving aside the consequences of this situation on internal conflicts in democratic societies. It could be not very comfortable: probably we will have new and severe forms of political instability and political tension. The reports says: “In developed countries and many of the more advanced developing countries, the declining ratio of working people to retirees will strain social services, pensions, and health systems. Governments will seek to mitigate the problem through such measures as delaying retirement, encouraging greater participation in the work force by women, and relying on migrant workers. Dealing effectively with declining dependency ratios is likely to require more extensive measures than most governments will be prepared to undertake. The shift towards a greater proportion of older voters will change the political dynamics in these countries in ways difficult to foresee”. But this caution is too little. Crime and corruption pay: available data suggest that current annual revenues from illicit criminal activities include many hundreds of billions of dollars. We will have more and more vulnerability, more and more crime, less and less security. Insecurity will be widespread and motivated by many reasons.

    Analysts like Dinesh D'Souza, in his fascinating The Virtue of Prosperity, say correctly that we live in an era of unprecedented prosperity and that in some countries there is the first mass affluent class in world history. New technologies have offered many extraordinary abilities to communicate and share information, and also godlike power over nature and humanity. But this is only half of the story. Recently the sociologist Baumann said “the contemporary word is a container full to the brim of an erratic fear and anxiety looking desperately for an outlet”. In the eighties, contemporaneously with the Chernobyl disaster, Beck published his book on Risikogesellschaft, since then he has become the most known expert on the problem. He underlines the fact that the theme of risk must not be confused with fear of catastrophies; risk according to Beck permeates our lives both at the individual and collective level. It is a common form of stress both for ordinary people and captains of industry, like an invisible danger that hangs over all of us and could come from anywhere. It is a historical novelty that cannot be compared with events of the past like the plague and cholera, because it is connected to a possibility which in these days is widespread, pervasive, often immaterial and undetermined. In the classical industrial society the logic of production dominates the logic of risk while today the production of risk dominates industrial production: the creation of riches is methodically accompanied by the social production of risk, which regards both “irreversible threat to the life of plants, animals and men and global threat impossible to circumscribe”.

     Speaking about anxiety in alimentary matters, from mad cow to species-jumping contagion, genetically modified crops and biological cloning, it has been said: “The new political battlegrounds of Europe will be the slaughterhouse and the supermarket. Food safety, not tax cuts and missile defences, will make and break political careers there...President Jacques Chirac and Prime Minister Lionel Jospin recently opened their duel for next year's French presidential election with important and thoughtful speeches on food safety. In his Feb. 8 speech in Lyon, Mr. Chirac urged all nations to make the ethics and safety of biotechnology and agriculture a topic for diplomacy and treaties”.

   In this perspective modernity becomes above all uncertainty and estrangement: we are all estrangers in the sense that we feel a radical distance from the others and we ask ourselves what to do with liberty in a world that fills us with fear: “the abuse of liberty is the most reliable indicator of its presence. Whoever wishes to know how free are the citizens of any given country…should observe how men and women behave with respect to the excesses of liberty: pornography, juvenile delinquency, criminality of foreigners - : if they react with tranquillity, liberty is in good hands” (Beck).

    In the years of the profound economic crisis of American society, president Roosevelt solemnly declared that freedom from fear is one of the fundamental aims of a democratic society.

 

 

4. The policies of security

      Crime, like all human behavior, is rational, but rationality is framed within an human context of passions, interests, cultures, and so on. As John Stuart Mill said: <<the most criminal actions are, to a being like a man, not more unnatural than most of the virtues>>. Economists such as Gordon Tullock and Gary Becker have demonstrated definitively the theory that most criminals are rational individuals bent on breaking the law in search of profits. It has been discussed if violence is forecastable or not. Like natural disasters such as earthquakes and whirlwinds, violence is the result of environmental conditions, which are sometimes predictable and sometimes not. In any case, from many points of view we can prevent, cure, channelling aggression, violence, crime in one direction of another.

    Our rationality is performed within an institutional context. Individuals do a cost-benefit analysis of reward/punishment before breaking the law. Institutions have a decisive role: they can prevent crime (like youth centers and interventions in the labor market) or discourage crime (like fair investigations and correct imprisonment). Quantity and quality of crime is a measure of the functioning of the institutional framework in every society.

  The standard theory that people who commit crimes are a social product is not wrong, but is compatible with the solutions offered up by the "rational criminal school”. Both education and punishment are very important in order to avoid crime. Rational criminal theorists argue correctly that crime will be reduced when it doesn't pay and institutional criminal theorists argue correctly that crime will be reduced when it will be cured by social interventions .

   In this quotation I show the typical line of reasoning of rational criminal theory. Afterwards I will show the typical line of reasoning of the new paradigm in social intervention. I quote: <<Laws inhibiting individual action against malefactors reduce the costs of lawlessness. When landlords cannot evict unsavory tenants, when property owners cannot oust suspicious trespassers, and when teachers cannot eject rowdy students from class, crime rates will increase. …If the risks of crime fall, then crime increases. And vice-versa. It's that simple. There's no need to send all those "sick" people out there who are perpetrating rapes and robberies to a psychiatrist's couch. Increase the odds that they'll go to prison or get shot, and they'll cure themselves. In one study of major felonies, the rate of robberies decreased by about 1.3 per cent in response to each 1 percent increase in the probability of punishment. In a study of crime rates in England, the fall in imprisonment rates between 1954-1967 was found to have contributed to a 44 percent increase in aggregate crime. These studies also explain why overly harsh mandatory sentences often have no deterrence effect. Life in prison means little if would-be criminals believe that their chances of conviction are slim. Our legislators, although they often posture about being tough on crime, too often miss the point of "rational criminal" theory.

       Example: Because so much prison space has been squandered on lengthy mandatory minimums for drug offenders, burglars rarely go to prison. Then legislators wonder why burglary is increasing. Meanwhile, politicians like Chicago Mayor Richard Daley and Gov. Parris Glendening of Maryland attack the very principle of self-defense — while enjoying the protection of well-armed government bodyguards. They display little patience for the theory that people who live in rough neighborhoods should have just as much right as politicians to defend their lives.

   But making it harder for law-abiding citizens to possess and carry guns only means that rational criminals will face a smaller risk of armed resistance. Chances are the politicians will then blame the NRA for the surge in "random violence”. What are the two most ridiculous words in modern political lingo? "Random violence." Calling violence "random" implies that crime is just a "random" event, like hail or falling rocks. During the Los Angeles riots, truck driver Reginald Denny, by this theory, just had the misfortune to happen into some random violence emitting from sociologically deprived victims — just as if he had taken a wrong turn into a sandstorm.>>.

   In rational criminal theory the typical line of reasoning sometimes misinterprets and under-estimates the importance of social and institutional intervention. It is not odd, because all the traditional means of social and institutional intervention are born in a very different historical period and must be updated to a new historical period. To put it in an other way, they must be adapted for a new millennium: all the traditional means of intervention change nature and relevance. From the agricultural and industrial societies of the past we are now in the global village: a society characterised  by abundance of possibilities and abundance of information, indiscretion, rumours, clues, suspicions, temptations,  and dangers. The great information revolution has deeply altered all aspects of police, prosecution, and court room dynamics, including forensics evidence, plea bargaining and the uprightness of the trial-by-jury system. The director of the Center on Wrongful Convictions at Northwestern University in Chicago said that in the US, about 90 people have been cleared of crimes that put them on death row, and many others have been released in noncapital cases,.

    From Durkheim to McLuhan, there is a very intricate way for the exploration of this new brave world: the debate over ever-more sophisticated ways of snooping on the public at home, at work, and at play is on the desks of lawyers and lawmakers, who debate about surveillance technologies such as those used for workplace monitoring, locational tracking, video surveillance, and electronic profiling. Private industry uses of biometrics include scans of the iris for personal identification and a plan to use fingerprint sensor technology as a security lock.
    Even liberty and emancipation have created new problems in quantity and quality, for instance in fields such as juvenile justice and female criminality. At the beginning of the Sixties, in the U.S. the ratio of women offenders to males was 1:5, and had grown to 1:3 already during the Seventies. In Italy at the beginning of the Nineties we speak daily about <<baby killers>> and <<baby bosses>>. Even more wives, girlfriends, sons of Mafia members are involved in crime activities. In Great Britain a record number of women are jailed for burglary and drugs offences. In 1991 the female prisonjail population rose to record levels of 3,105 double the figure of five years ago. Linda Jones, the head of women's policy at the Prison Service, said in June 1999 the figures "scotched the myth" that women were being jailed for non-payment of fines and for debts such as television licences. A third of inmates were serving terms for drug offences and another third had been involved in "drug-related" incidents.

      The trend is global: new forms of crime and deviance are increasing all over the world. While old forms of criminality have not disappeared: the German government observed in February 2001 that “crimes by extreme rightists in Germany, including anti-Semitic and anti-foreigner attacks, jumped by 59 percent last year, confirming a trend that is worrying many politicians and Jewish leaders. Anti-Semitic crimes surged by 69 percent to 1,378, while crimes aimed against foreigners rose 57 percent to 3,594, the Interior Ministry said. Especially worrying was a jump in violent crimes to 998, a third more than in 1999, the report said. When crimes such as displaying neo-Nazi symbols or distributing propaganda were included, the total was 15,951, an increase of 59 percent over the previous year”.

 

 

5. From a new insecurity to educational programs on security

       According to an interpretation supported in particular by Gehlen, the permanent human problem is an over-exposition to stimuli and the infinite possibility of channelling the stimuli in deeply divergent interpretations, as demonstrated by the multiplicity of cultures, religions and political faiths. We are constitutionally characterised by an excess of possibilities and therefore permanently exposed to the risk of a loss of points of reference. Less strong the adhesion to an interpretative code more strong is the difficulty of interpreting, with the consequence of an increase of insecurity.

    Today there is growing incapacity  to put order in traditional methods of channelling our perception of insecurity. On a general level, which individually is declined in a variety of ways, as human beings we are permanently characterised by an excess of perception and today moreover we are inundated by a flood of stimuli as never before in history. In this situation insecurity grows and the possibilities of rationalising diminishe; many fears socially very widespread are the fruit of this interpretative breakdown: they are precarious and hurried rationalisations, which frequently are resolved in the individuation of a scapegoat. Contemporary societies are characterised by an inferior capacity to regulate sensations of insecurity. This historical novelty favours regression and the re-emergence of irrational tendencies.

     It has been said that after the traumatic change from agricultural society to industrial society we are in the middle of another traumatic change, connected with the coming of a form of  society profoundly typified by global information technology: the Third Wave after the First Wave of the agricultural revolution of ten thousand years ago which determined the great transformation of society and the Second Wave, the industrial one of few centuries ago. In Future Shock Alvin Toffler insisted very much on the impact of acceleration, but successively has underlined the growing importance of the theme of security. This new civilisation is characterised by turbo-capitalism, a metaphor which gives the idea of a capitalism that develops at high speed and therefore runs the risk of one those terrible accidents which are frequently connected with high speed. Our world would be like an airplane on automatic pilot in continuous acceleration, but without a specific destination. According to the not very reassuring theories of Bzrezinski (in Out of Control), turbo-capitalism as well as speed and globalisation is also characterised by destabilisation of social classes and exacerbation of the economic differences; therefore the principal sensations of insecurity change, frequently well motivated and frequently substantially obscure, as regards both controversial scientific aspects and qualitative and quantitative effects socially.

     Relevant studies show that there are in the Unites States 28 million crime victims, who face a greater chance of increased drug or alcohol use, anxiety, depression and suicide. Victims often suffer decreased productivity at work or lowered performance in school. Moreover, it is well known that one of the best predictors of whether a person will commit a crime is whether he or she has been a victim. In February 2001, officials said that the Prime Minister of Great Britain Tony Blair had been "shocked" by research showing that “more than a third of the 100,000 people responsible for most serious crime had been in care as children. Government figures show that half of them were under 21, two-thirds were drug addicts, half had no qualifications and three-quarters were unemployed”.

   After many years spent rehabilitating offenders and providing social-service help, we should be rehabilitating victims an offering them a greater range of support: for years we have seen more women and young people in prison than ever before, and this was interpreted as the consequence not the cure. Victims' rights advocates are seeking a different regulation: the presence of victims in the process, restitution orders--in which criminals are ordered to repay their victims. Criminals should have duties, and also victims should have rights.

    After the dominant idea of the Sixties that we have basic human rights, we need to underline the idea that we have basic human duties. Some forms of cultural tendencies are boosting the point. For instance communitarianism, which seeks to balance individual rights with social responsibilities, individuality with community, and individual rights with the common security. From Sixty Eight the rights to liberty and privacy have been overemphasised to the detriment of the rights to security. I’m not saying that it's time  to swing the pendulum back to overemphasization of security, but in any case it’s time to find a more reasonable position between the two extremes.

      In Great Britain, the Home Secretary Jack Straw has observed: "The Police have a responsibility for the levels of crime but in fact we all have a responsibility to make our area safe and do something about it. This shows the solution lies as much in the hands of local councils and communities as it does in the hands of the police."

Citizens have rights and duties. In order to prevent crime, a sentiment of responsibility must be impressed within our souls and bones. The Prime Minister of Great Britain Tony Blair has brilliantly underlined that responsibilities matter. President George W. Bush has shown himself very interested in a “compassionate” public intervention in social matters, as it has been underlined favorably also by leftist thinkers like Bob Putnam.

     At the beginning of 2001, a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll revealed that 60 percent of Americans say the public-school system is doing a poor or "only fair" job of educating young people, and 54 percent of parents say they would prefer to send their child to a private school. 40 to 50 percent of congressmen send their children to private schools, and large part of public-school teachers do the same. Someone observes: “Would you eat in a restaurant in which the restaurant's owner refused to eat? The people who know the system best do not want to be part of it”. Bush's legislation or voucher provisions would change a situation where 95 percent of education funds are spent at the State and local level. Instead, the new ideas of compassionate conservatism want return education dollars, education choice, and education power back to parents: “President Bush has the right idea: Accountability in education has been absent far too long. But a tiny, federal voucher program can do little to bring real accountability to a system that desperately needs it. The real merit of the Bush plan isn't the plan itself, but that it has launched a national debate about parental control in education”.

    Government could be a big part of the problem or a big part of the solution. For instance, we are told that welfare is needed to reduce poverty, yet as Charles Murray proved in Losing Ground, success against poverty was reversed in the US at precisely the moment the government declared "war" on it and greatly increased welfare expenditures. At least after the pages of Schumpeter, we know that political entrepreneurs love to create forms of public expenditure. For instance, thousands of "off-budget enterprises," as it has been said correctly. In the USA as elsewhere, at the State and local levels of government, many politicians have so rigged elections that a great percentage of all incumbents are re-elected. Frequently public money creates incumbents, constituents, bribes, contributions, corruption, and so on. This framework is true also for public security, where there are vested interests, largely worried more about their own survival than in the survival of the citizens.

    When, instead of favouring free markets and contracting for confidentiality, the government prefers a one-size-fits-all approach to things, it will be a big part of the problem. If we change the words government and State with the word community, maybe our conceptual framework will change. State and government are distant entities, community is even more abstract, but it seems a familiar entity. If  an individual's pre-eminent place in community is recognised, his natural rights and his social duties are up to the task of distinguishing legitimate from illegitimate public intervention. Modern government is much too large for any average citizen, who has little incentive to become informed about bureaucratic activities, for he spends most of his time earning a living, raising his family, etc. But the area of education is the area where the average citizen can understand immediately what the community can do for him.

   I’m trying to offer an example about the educational intervention in the very delicate matter of drugs. The American federal government annually announces that it is winning the war on drugs, but this is hardly credible.  Here the rapport between the State and common security lies in a tangle. While the federal government continues to soldier on with its 30-year war on drugs, the American citizens have become increasingly sceptic. Popular support for the anti-drug war has eroded during the years, and opinion polls show that a growing number of American citizens believe the military intervention has been ineffective. Significantly, some American States have begun to consider the possibility of decriminalizing drug offences, even in conflict with federal drug control policies.

    When California voters overwhelmingly supported Proposition 36 (“which weeds out drug abusers from the courts and jails, and forwards them into less-expensive treatment programs”), we had the best example of the transition of ordinary people to a research of new public means of interventions in the field.

   “Americans are tired of wasting billions of dollars on a drug war that is not working, especially when clear pragmatic alternatives exist," said Ethan Nadelmann, the U.S. Customs Service chief. Commissioner Ray Kelly said national policies that rely instead on interdiction and incarceration as a means to stem the flow of drugs into this country or punish those involved in the buying and selling of narcotics have not worked enough. "I don't know of any thinking person in law enforcement who doesn't say we need more prevention and treatment," Kelly said. Prevention and treatment are the same words used many times by other specialists in different criminal matters. In his Mindhunter, when asked about what to do with serial killers, the best known expert on serial killers says: we arrive too late, the great thing to do can be made a long time before, in the family, in the school, and so on. All the classical culture from the Bible to Confucius, from John Locke to John Dewey insists on education. Prevention and treatment have today a new meaning, founded on an education adjusted to the tasks of the third millennium.

     Technology and affluence cannot solve the basic human problem of an over-exposition to stimuli and of an excess of possibilities. The risk of a loss of points of reference and of interpretative codes increases sensations of insecurity. Contemporary societies favour the re-emergence of irrational tendencies connected to the most classical human questions: What is the meaning and value of life? What are the reasons of survival? What must I do for my country? Educational programs must offer the basic answers of today for the most classical human questions.

   In  the CIA report previously quoted, Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue about the Future with Nongovernmental Experts, the r ole of education is clearly emphasised : “Education will be determinative of success in 2015 at both the individual and country levels. The globalizing economy and technological change inevitably place an increasing premium on a more highly skilled labor force. Adult literacy and school enrollments will increase in almost all countries. The educational gender gap will narrow and probably will disappear in East and Southeast Asia and Latin America. …Progress will vary among regions, countries, and social groups, triggering increased income inequalities within as well as among countries. …School enrollments will decline in the most highly impoverished countries, in those affected by serious internal conflicts, and in those with high rates of infectious diseases”.

   The forecasting is focused on international affairs and maintains an optimistic inclination about internal politics in developed countries. The dire reality is that, above all in developed countries, those who want to cope with social ills or rehabilitate people liable for crime must start from the moral dimension of crime.

     Radical critics say that schools have to brainwashed generations of children into becoming docile supporters of the status quo. Governments at all levels would have devote enormous energy and resources to manufacturing the will of the people. This kind of State, the great nineteen century State, vanished and sank in the abysses of  the cold war. Now, after the end of the cold war, and in an era of new world disorder, the traditional State contracts and numbs. Our minds are not so much manufactured as confused, and security is largely our individual business, as citizens, as consumers, as entrepreneurs, as mammy and daddy, and so on. Individual citizens interested in protecting their lives and property are society's first line of defence against criminals: security is their business. Education must catch the point. For instance, if we believe that exposure to TV and movies suggestion is connected to several random acts of teenage murder and rage, we must engage ourselves as citizens and as parents in the problem. And what a problem!

     In the USA many if not most of approximately 14,000 school districts have some kind of zero tolerance rules, which address drugs, sexual harassment, weapons and violence. Most of the schools set out automatic punishments for various offences that range from reprimands to suspensions to criminal prosecution. Many observe that “Instead of dealing with the root issues that are destroying the moral fabric of our nation, schools have implemented zero tolerance in order to project an image of responsibility… Zero tolerance policies in schools can be unfair, some lawyers argue, because a student found with aspirin in his pocket can get suspended as quickly as one with cocaine or marijuana”.

    For someone, security means buying door locks and firearms, to raise the costs of crime by increasing the number and potency of obstacles which the criminal must confront. In his interesting More Guns, Less Crime, John Lott explains that where more citizens carry guns for lawful protection, there the rates of violent crime are less relevant (examples given by this school of thought go from Switzerland to a comparison between different areas in the USA). He says that when State laws force guns to be locked up, crime rises “So, if the personal costs of a life of crime climb high enough, it stands to reason that some criminals will be on the lookout for other lines of work”. After having examined crime data spanning decades in all 3,200-plus counties in the United States, Lott concludes that the most important factor in the deterrence of violent crimes were increased police presence and longer jail sentences. In contrast to near-complete bans in Australia and Great Britain, many U.S. States have laws that allow private citizens to carry a loaded gun at all times in most public places.

    With a criminal justice system keeping over 2 million Americans locked up, and with more State and federal prisoners added to US prisons during the Clinton presidency than during any prior US president (and more federal inmates added under Clinton than under Bush and Reagan combined), it is obvious to say that what will be decided in the US during the next years (about prisons, guns, decriminalisation, immigration, environment, and so on), will be crucial for many other social contexts.

  Last, but not least, I would introduce some conclusive remarks about the necessity to teach legality at all levels. We must teach security, from protection of assets to the avoidance of dangerous situations, but even more we must teach legality. From this point of view the Italian case is very interesting: we Italians have so high a level of discussion about the border between legal and illegal, that we have promoted many courses on legality in the schools and the universities.

   This is a specific problem of our historical heritage, characterised by the big presence of great political forces (above all the Catholics, the communists, the fascists), who were not nurtured in a culture of legality. They had their idea of legality, rooted in the past, in the future, in the Sky, but not in legal, formal, constitutional procedures.

   Even our police and security services were not prepared to cope with the new problems of our time. For decades they were above all directed against the red scare, which during fifty years dominated a country where the Communist Party was the biggest Communist party in Europe. For years the central themes in security have been very different from what they are now. It is not strange: like in Great Britain, or in the Us, we have a complex reality to face.

    In a fascinating book, Robert Putnam said that “Palermo could be the future of Moscow”, and he was right. In order to avoid that many cities and countries go the same way as Palermo and Moscow, it is important to give lessons, examples, models, reasons and courses on legality (not only in ex-communist States). The great nineteenth century State was a powerful, but distant father: we now need compassionate communities (that is, governmental, State, local, public and private organisations) fully engaged in the necessity to speak at length to our children, politicians, bureaucrats, lawyers and lawmakers about both security and legality. Security, legality, and morality are words that have been connected since the beginning of human culture and must be tightly connected in everyday experience of responsible communities.